Rio the Rumoured Buyer in Lithium M&A

Anglo talk up defensibility + metals pull back while oil jumps

The Pre-Start

  • Hillgrove delivered a 13% increase in copper produced and a 33% increase in underground mines tonnes for the quarter (HGO)

  • First gold dore from Black Cat’s Myhree project has been poured ahead of schedule (BC8)

  • Rox Resources released assay results for five diamond holes at Paddy’s Lodes, 200m south-east of its Youanmi gold project (RXL)

  • Centrex completed its landmark shipment of phosphate concentrate to India (CXM)

  • Capstone announced CEO John MacKenzie will move to non-exec chair following the 2025 AGM, while chair Darren Pylot will leave the board (CSC)

  • New World Resources checked another approvals box at Antler, moving now to a substantive review period (NWC)

  • Kingsgate shared that the holding period for arbitral award under the Thai-Aus trade agreement was extended to Sept 25’, giving negotiations further time (KCN)

  • Deutsche Balaton increased their stake in Matsa to 19.4% (MAT)

High Grade It

  • Decmil have landed a $61m contract from Hanroy for a Marble Bar road upgrade (West)

  • Tensions between a junior miner and an Aboriginal corporation at the fringes of Karijini National Park have spilled over onto FMG and Rio territory (West)

  • Origin Energy said it’s exiting its hydrogen ventures after deciding it was too expensive and costly (AFR)

  • Regis investors are pressing management over whether it would return to paying dividends, now that McPhillamys is off the agenda (Australian)

  • WA’s newest lithium producer, Liontown, has been forced to cut some 30 jobs, or one third, of its West Perth headquarters (West)

  • The Victorian government is examining a floating LNG terminal in Port Phillip Bay, as it faces up to prospect of gas shortages from 2027 (AFR)

  • Perenti avoided a second strike against its exec remuneration report after tightening payment policies relating to safety (BN)

  • Oil rose as tensions in the Middle East unnerved investors ahead of US jobs data due later Friday (Bloomberg)

  • Teck CEO tells LME week that organic growth is the focus, not acquisitions (MiningNews)

  • The Sizewell C nuclear project was hit by new delays as investment talks drag, with UK ministers making contingency plans to fund the £20bn+power plant (FT)

Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Rio may join BHP in a big acquisition, some believe a major deal in the lithium space may now not be too far away (Australian) Bridget Carter rattles off Arcadium and Albemarle as candidates for the major

  • Anglo American chief Duncan Wanblad said it’s not ‘inevitable’ that a buyer will emerge for the company after it slims down (FT)

  • Korea Zinc teamed up with U.S. private-equity firm Bain Capital to thwart what it calls a hostile takeover by Korean investment company MBK Partners (WSJ)

  • Southern Cross Gold will acquire 2 residential holdings for $1.9m while entering a Share Swap agreement to acquire agricultural property owner Sparr, for consideration of ~22m shares ($70.6m). As well as properties, Sparr holds $18.75m cash (SXG)

  • Santana signed a binding and exclusive option to purchase 92ha of land within its key project area to access & supply water for mine production purposes (SMI)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Frontier provided a financing update, with an updated DFS due in Q4 CY24 to support “non-dilutive” funding options (bonds, supplier finance, government) (FHE)

Word on the Decline

  • We heard that UEC may have owned a large parcel of shares in Fission Uranium and was partially responsible for the sizable vote against the merger with Paladin

  • We had a look through UEC’s public filings to see if we could find anything to substantiate this. And tucked within UEC’s fresh Annual Report, they sold $55m worth of listed equity securities last week!

The timing stacks up if these were Fission shares sold post-vote

  • Maybe it was even UEC that was the Plan A merger partner for Fission at the beginning of the year?

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In the Weeds

  • Kingsley Jevons goes deep on sentiment divergence in iron ore stocks (Livewire)

  • Inside Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant (BG2 Podcast)

  • Tim Treadgold reckons China’s low-cost manufacturing capacity is a threat to the dreams of battery production in Australia (BN)

  • Is nuclear energy the zero-carbon answer to powering AI? (FT)

  • Colombia is quitting fossil fuels, can it convince other countries? (Bloomberg)

  • Exuberant iron ore, subdued copper show different sides of China stimulus (Reuters)

  • Xi’s belated stimulus has reset the mood in Chinese markets (Economist)

  • How BYD plans to shake up the Australian EV market (AFR)

  • Green hydrogen hype fast runs out of steam, demanding a rethink (Australian)

  • China’s fastest growing copper champion, Zijin, is reshaping global metal supply (Bloomberg)

    Zijin outperformance

    Zijin has outperformed its peers by almost 9x

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Today’s Top Tweet

Devil’s in the Detail

Has anyone been able to figure out the actual number of ounces held at the Perth Mint by Rand Mining and Tribune Mining?

Both companies lodged their Annual Reports last week and both of them have enormous inventories of gold bullion but you can’t figure out the number of ounces. It literally isn’t stated anywhere.

What makes it tough is the inventory value is recorded at cost on the balance sheet, not the realisable value from simply selling the gold bars! Let us know if you work out the actual number. And why?

Rand (pg 51)

Tribune (pg 66)

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