Rex Minerals Soars on $400m Takeover

Ramelius & Regis generating cash with Red 5 pay their debts

The Pre-Start

  • Ramelius produced 293koz in FY24, generating underlying FCF of $316m ($137m in Q4). AISC not reported, but expected to be near ~$1,550/oz (RMS)

  • Regis produced 418koz in FY24, finishing with $295m cash & bullion, adding $109m this quarter. Tropicana missed guidance due to March rains (RRL)

  • Meteoric Resources released a scoping study for its Caldeira rare earth project in Brazil giving 14% IRR at spot pricing (MEI) it’s been a while since we’ve seen a spot NdPr deck!

  • Core Lithium produced 95k dmt of spod con from mining & stockpiles over FY24, selling two-thirds of that (66kt). It finished FY24 with $88m in cash, with Finniss now on care & maintenance (CXO)

  • RED 5 repaid the KOTH project loan ($93m), leaving it debt-free while restructuring its hedge book. It sold 111koz in the June Q (RED)

  • Encounter shared new air-core drill intercepts from Crean & Emily, including a hit of 46m @ 3.1% Nb2O5 from 60m (ENR)

  • Patriot Battery Metals released drill results from the Vega zone at CV13, with some high-grade hits from the shallow dipping zone (PMT)

  • Hot Chili established a new water co with its Chinese partner, to develop a multi-user seawater & desalinate water supply network (HCH)

High Grade It

  • Canada is making it harder for foreign firms to acquire domestic miners by imposing measures to protect targets from global rivals (Bloomberg)

  • An Avebury sale deal thought to be for less than previous offers should be investigated & blocked, a big shareholder has told FIRB (Advocate)

  • FMG made no apologies and is standing by its allegations of “industrial-scale misuse” of its work on green iron under spying revelations (AFR)

  • China’s central bank didn’t buy any gold for a second month in June, as the precious metal edged lower from a record high (Bloomberg)

  • A key measure of Chinese copper demand returned to positive territory for the first time in two months as users upped purchases (Bloomberg)

  • Disruptions at two major coal mines have heightened concerns about insufficient supply at a time of growing demand (AFR)

  • GoviEx, a company that mines in Niger, plunged after reporting that the nation’s military leaders withdrew its permit (Bloomberg)

  • Clive Palmer said Chinese conglomerate CITIC is in breach of contract by denying him access to a magnetite mining operation in WA (AFR)

  • Teck’s shares jumped the most since April on plans to cut debt & return cash from proceeds of its steelmaking coal sale (Bloomberg)

  • Vedanta said it arranged the financing needed to start paying creditors of its Konkola Mines as it takes steps to revive operations (Reuters)

  • Groups pushing the US to revive & expand the long-dormant Bureau of Mines, to streamline how minerals production is regulated (Reuters)

  • India’s central bank probably increased its gold reserves by the most in almost two years last month (Mining.com)

  • China’s MMG has halted operations at a mill at its Dugald River zinc mine for about two months of repair work (Mining.com)

Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Rex Minerals entered a scheme deed with MACH, who’ve agreed to pay 47c/share for shares it doesn’t already own, implying a $393m equity value or a 79% premium to the 30-day VWAP (RXM)

  • Street Talk suggests that Anglo American still intends to launch the sale process of its Bowen Basin coal assets despite the Grosvenor fire

  • Hanking has agreed to sell its Mt Bundy gold project in the Northern Territory to Huineng for A$300 million (Hanking)

  • French miner Eramet is exploring a partnership with Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt to produce battery-grade nickel in Indonesia (Bloomberg)

  • Bowen Coking Coal completed the sale of 10% of Broadmeadow East for $13m in cash to Formosa Group, with $7m going to pay down debt (BCB)

  • Magnetite Mines & JFE Shoji announced a non-binding agreement to negotiate study funding & offtakes for the Razorback iron ore project (MGT)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Hastings is in a trading halt regarding a share placement (HAS)

  • KGL Resources is looking to raise $15m via an entitlement offer (KGL)

  • Platina received its first milestone payment of $6m from the sale of the Platinum Scandium project, adding to the $11m already received (PGM)

  • Dateline Resources has expanded its rights issue to ~$6m (DTR)

  • Larvotto is raising $5m via a placement (LRV)

Word on the Decline

  • Last week a senate inquiry in Australia dealt a scathing blow to our securities regulator down under, ASIC

  • The report rips into the regulator, ultimately recommending it is abolished and replaced with two separate bodies. There were some punchy statements from the senator too

It was disappointing that, at the time, ASIC appeared to try to disrupt this Inquiry by colluding with the Government to interfere with its establishment by the Senate.

Over the last 20 months, the Committee has uncovered the dire state of ASIC: an organisation without transparency, few prosecutions, and a litany of cultural, structural and governance issues.

Senator Bragg
  • If you trace back the origins of the senate inquiry, one of the primary complainants pressed particularly hard about a case of missing bullion at one of Australia’s major gold bullion dealers. ASIC’s heads were questioned specifically about this but the name of the company has never surfaced publicly…

Do you have some Word on the Decline? Reply to this email or shoot a message to [email protected] directly. We will always take your privacy seriously.

In the Weeds

  • Here’s a great long-form interview with author Michael Lewis, writer of The Big Short, Liar’s Poker & Flash Boys (to name just a few)

  • PGMs: An Asymmetric Setup (Substack) Given the depressed levels of PGM equities, it’s worthwhile exploring the opportunity

  • A deep dive into solar, underlining just how rapid its rise has been, and how influential it will be going forward (Handmers)

  • A book worth reading - Argyle by Stuart Kells - covering the discovery of the Argyle Diamond mine in the Kimberley in great detail

  • Coal power use resurged this quarter, recording its first year-on-year growth in almost a decade amid a wind “drought” (AFR)

  • Turkey will soon unveil an agreement with BYD to construct a $1b plant, officials said, boosting the carmaker’s presence in Europe (Bloomberg)

  • Ever wanted to understand MinRes? In this episode of Business Breakdowns, Fraser Christie of TDM Growth Partners explains it

  • Battery maker SK On has declared itself in crisis as its customers struggle with disappointing EV sales in Europe and the US (FT)

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Today’s Top Tweet

Devil’s in the Detail

The Canadian government will only approve foreign takeovers of large Canadian mining companies involved in critical minerals production “in the most exceptional of circumstances,” according to the latest guidelines from Industry Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne.

So if you are a well-intentioned mining entrepreneur today, you certainly won’t be registering your company in Canada. And when it’s time to go public, you’ll probably list on ASX as well.

Another win for the big thinkers, eh.

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