Pilbara Block Trade See Eyes on Ganfeng

Commnodities continue the comback while Chinese stocks surge

The Pre-Start

  • Metro Mining posted another operational update, with Sept a record month for shipments at 780kwmt, with further gains expected after flow sheet optimisation (MMI)

  • Xanadu provided an update on its Kharmagtai copper-gold project in Mongolia, PFS is imminent and operatorship transition to Zijin underway (XAM)

  • Macmahon’s subsidiary Decmil was awarded a $61m contract for upgrade the Marble Bar road (MAH)

  • Horizon Minerals announced first ore being mined at Boorara (HRZ)

  • Lefroy delineated a high-grade gold zone from its existing Burns resource, totalling 4.2Mt @ 1.18g/t for 160koz (LEX)

  • Firefly released further drill results from Ming, with a resource to come this month (FFM)

  • Winsome filed the technical PEA study report on is Adina lithium project (WR1)

  • Cobalt Blue provided updated economics on its proposed Kwinana cobalt refinery (COB)

  • Adriatic Metals added Mirco Bardella as a NED (ADT)

  • Emerald NED Simon Lee will retire, leaving the EMR board in November (EMR)

High Grade It

  • BHP’s climate plan divides shareholders ahead of AGM, with some shareholders unconvinced (CB)

  • Paladin’s $1.5b uranium deal with Fission has been slowed by a national security probe (AFR)

  • Zimbabwe’s poor infrastructure and policy inconsistencies are worsening the impact of depressed lithium prices on producers (Mining.com)

  • A spat between two wealthy South Korean families over the future of a $11b

    zinc empire has intensified (Bloomberg)

  • Super pit development at Barrick’s $2b Lumwana copper mine expansion in Zambia officially launched (Mining.com)

  • Chinese shares listed in Hong Kong jumped the most in almost two years, extending their stimulus-induced euphoria (Bloomberg)

  • Mine or money pit? Dartbrook coal believers stump up again (AFR)

  • Chinese firms' overseas investments in clean energy technology projects have exceeded US$100b since the start of 2023, Australia’s CEF said (Reuters)

  • Oil prices jumped more than 2% as Middle East tensions escalate (Reuters)

  • TotalEnergies said it would invest US$10.5b in a large offshore oil & gas field in Suriname (WSJ)

  • Gold fell following an early surge, with markets awaiting the potential next steps in an expanding Middle East conflict (Bloomberg)

  • A battle is brewing in Bundaberg over plans for a coal mine, with the project proponents planning to appeal a rejection by the QLD government (Australian)

  • The Saudi oil minister said that prices could drop to as low as US$50/b if so-called cheaters within OPEC+ don’t stick to agreed-upon production limits (WSJ)

  • Battle brewing over Fox Resources’ plan for coking coal mine in Bundaberg (Australian)

Pacific Finance at Drill24

Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Ganfeng is apparently the seller of a monster $271m line of stock in Pilbara Minerals being shopped yesterday evening (AFR)

  • Australian gas supplier Santos said on Wednesday that it has signed a mid-term LNG supply contract with TotalEnergies (Reuters)

  • Vale and Brazillian state-owned development bank BNDES will create a $184m strategic minerals fund (Reuters)

  • Paladin’s $1.5b uranium deal slowed by national security probe (AFR)

  • Yorbeau Resources sells Rouyn gold project for C$18.5 million (Mining.com)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Australian Pacific Coal announced an enhanced funding package for its Dartbrook JV and launched a $20m equity raise (AQC) senior debt facility with Vitol also upsized from US$60m to US$90m and the cursed “fully funded” words have been penned

  • Following Frontier Energy not being assigned capacity credits at the Waroona renewable project, it’s agreed to terminate the tranche 2 obligations from its August placement (FHE)

  • Challenger Gold executed a binding term sheet for a $6.6m strategic placement and tolling agreement to process gold from its Hualilan project by 2025 (CEL)

  • American West Metals has been suspended from quotation as it “finalises, plans and executes” a capital raising (AW1) despite a 2 day trading halt already, we don’t think a term sheet has been sent out..

Word on the Decline

  • We heard some rumours about the potential that Australia’s Future Fund will be backing the establishment of a government strategic metals fund that would have the ability to underwrite the offtakes of critical metals (rare earths?) projects… If true, sounds like a genius allocation of capital… Not.

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In the Weeds

  • Like it or not, miners are still a China proxy (FT’s Lex)

  • Returning to Corvette / Shaakichiuwaanaan: Second Visit Presents Second Opportunity (Yellow Lab Life Capital - also known as The Koala)

  • China’s Fast-Growing Copper Champion Is Reshaping Global Metal Supply (Bloomberg)

  • Why investment legend Chris Mackay says ‘it’s a dangerous time’ (AFR’s Chanticleer)

“Many trillions of dollars are misapplied on the basis of 140 ‘characters’ of false opinion, predictions of short-term unknowables, trumped-up cats and dogs of narrow ETFs, record single-day option and meme trading, agency fallacy idiocy that higher prices for illiquidity or opaque black box lock-ups better protect capital”

Chris Mackay - MFF Capital MD, Magellan Founder

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Today’s Top Tweet

Devil’s in the Detail

Yesterday arvo we took a good read of Xanadu’s announcement. A PFS released on Kharmagtai is imminent from them, funded by the US$35m from Zijin who now manages the 50/50 JV with Xanadu.

Xanadu has advisers trying to strum up some competitive tension to maximise value on the table for the currently $100m capped company that Zijin also has a 19.4% shareholding in.

Strumming up XAM’s share of the funding will be tough going and with Zijin in control of the JV, they have every incentive to play hard ball now.

The obvious deal to do is Xanadu selling its remaining interest to Zijin. Would FIRB get in the way? Not sure. But the low probability idea we had yesterday if the approval pathway was possible: could Xanadu retain a royalty for the sale of their interest? That would be interesting.

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