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- Paladin Bounces as Water Worries Ease
Paladin Bounces as Water Worries Ease
Saudi's Manara eyes stake in the massive Reko Diq project, Iluka drops on big losses
The Pre-Start
Evolution generated group cash flow of $165m for the quarter on $263m of net mine cash flow, with its cash balance lifting to $520m. 195koz of Au & 18.5kt Cu were produced, on track for FY25 guidance (EVN)
Iluka made $252m in operating cash flow over 2024, exceeded by full-year capex of $434m, contributing to a $319m free cash flow loss (ILU) Down 8%
Paladin’s cash advanced US$62m while drawing $5m in debt. It closed Dec 31 with US$166m of cash + short-term investments and US$100m in debt drawn. It remains on track to meet its revised guidance of 3 - 3.6Mlb U3O8 as water concerned eased. Dec saw a record month with 309klb produced (PDN) Up 10%
West Africa generated $76m in operating cash flow, ending Q4 with notional net debt of US$8m. Kiaka construction progress on time and budget (WAF)
Element 25 released a Butcherbird expansion study, underscored by a $561m NPV8 and a 96% IRR with a $65m capital cost (E25)
MetalsX reported record tin production from Renison (MLX 50%) of 3,329t for the quarter, adding $59m net cash flow and ending with $220m in the bank (MLX)
Sovereign released optimised PFS results for Kasiya, resulting in an pre-tax NPV8 US$2.3b and a 27% IRR. Stage 1 capex is US$665m, with total LOM development capex US$1.12b (SVM)
Encounter shared RC assay results from Green, outlining 800m of strike leading to accelerated resource definition drilling and further study work (ENR)
Viridis resource update saw it lift Colossus by 140% to 493Mt @ 2,508ppm TREO (1,000ppm cut-off). MREO grade came in at 601ppm (VMM)
Ausgold shared assay results from Q4 resource drilling at Katanning, & exploration drilling at Woodanilling releasing 95 RC results for 5.9km (AUC)
Pantoro produced 19.4koz gold in the quarter from Norseman, adding $7m cash after paying stamp duty for the Tulla merger, closing with $119m cash and bullion (PNR) guidance adjusted to 90koz for FY25
Wildcat closed the quarter with $64m in cash (WC8)
Saturn Metals released assay results from resource definition RC drilling completed last year at Apollo Hill (STN)
Bannerman has appointed Felicity Gooding as NED, with Matt Horgan added in the Corp Dev (BMN)
Leo Lithium shareholders will receive a total distribution of 17.2cps on 31 Jan (LLL) co will be cashed-up & on the hunt for a lithium development project
Requisitioning shareholders at Clara Resources are aiming to have Nicholas Mather and Brian Moller removed from the board via Section 249D (C7A)
Fenix has added 240kt iron ore to its hedge book bringing the total hedged in 2025 to 660kt at A$155/tonne (FEX)
Chalice has appointed Dan Brearley as COO (CHN)
High Grade It
Coal, gas, iron ore audit by a Dutton government, should they be elected, to unleash the mining sector by progressing $119b of stalled projects (Australian)
BHP copper output jumps as electrification era picks up pace (AFR)
Northern Star remains tight lipped on its $5bn move for De Grey’s Hemi which has experienced another timeline setback in its bid for federal approvals (BN)
New Hope’s New Acland coal mine near Toowoomba to expand operations after win against environmental lawfare (Australian)
Shell and PetroChina’s joint venture, Arrow Energy is preparing to drill hundred of new wells to lift production at its Queensland gas project (Australian)
$28.5b in mining agreements were signed in Saudi’s fourth Future Minerals Forum (MNN)
Indonesia is considering potential cuts to nickel ore supplies to help boost prices amid a global glut (FT)
Teck will earmark up to $3.9b over the next 4 years to increase its copper production to 800kt per annum (Mining.com)
Iluka sheds roles as rare earths build gets underway and rutile, zircon markets struggle (West)
Liontown beat expectations in its latest quarterly report, amid a lithium rout (AFR)
Terramin says it will appeal a court verdict upholding a decision to block Adelaide Hills gold mine (Australian)
Oil majors brace for falls in LNG revenues as prices stabilise, with profits expected to take a bit as volatility drops (FT)
Gold prices climbed to their highest level in nearly 11 weeks on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar slumped following President Trump's inauguration (Reuters)
BHP unlocks more port iron ore tonnes for half-year as doors close to Nickel West operations (West)
Woodside paused planned projects in low-carbon hydrogen & concentrated solar in the US as it takes a more selective approach to clean energy (AFR)
Christel Bories will step down as chief executive of French mining group Eramet in May while remaining chairwoman (Reuters)
Santos defers $3b WA oil project amid focus on shareholder returns (Australian)
Wheelin’ n Dealin’
Saudi Arabia’s investment mining fund, Manara Minerals is set to buy a 10-20% stake in copper project Reko Dik for between US$500m and US$1b from the government of Pakistan who has a 25% interest with Barrick 75% (FT)
Barrick considers sale of its 50% stake in Chilean copper mine, Zaldivar, jointly held with Antofagasta (Bloomberg)
Glencore is open to M&A and still hopes to explore talks with Rio Tinto (Reuters)
Mining M&A set to jump as Newmont divestment program overhang clears (MNN)
Court approval of the scheme for Pilbara’s acquisition of Latin was received, Latin to come off the ASX boards later this month (LRS)
29Metals executed full form docs for refinancing of its senior secured debt facility (29M)
Why merger mania is coming to the fore in the mining industry (West)
MinRes pursues multi-track sale of Yilgarn iron ore, land and transport assets (West)
Rattlin’ the Tin
Patriot announced the closing of a C$69m strategic investment, offtake and partnership with Volkswagen and PowerCo. VW now owns 9.9% of PMT, with the miner to supply 100ktpa of SC5.5 over 10-years (PMT)
Word on the Decline
We found the advertisement in The West for MinRes’ Yilgarn iron ore project pretty amusing…
But one potential deal we think the Ozzy Park miner is more likely to want to keep out of the headlines is rumoured discussions they’re having with Ganfeng to roll Bald Hill and other goldfields lithium tenure into the lithium JV they have together…
Do you have some Word on the Decline? Reply to this email or shoot a message to [email protected] directly. We will always take your privacy seriously.
In the Weeds
Interview with Tim Staermose of African Lions Fund on investing in African stock markets (YouTube) 2024 returns of +27%, not much mining stock talk but great insight into the different countries / markets / risks
Trump’s re-entry spark concerns over African critical minerals (MNN)
Mineral wars: why Trump needs Greenland (Livewire)
Strictly Boardroom going for gold: a corporate ranking of gold mines (MNN)
Will China’s policymakers grasp the nettle in 2025? (East Asia Forum)
Mark McGowan lobbying for Alcoa via Joe Hockey’s Bondi Partners ahead of state election (BN)
Recharge by BMR Jan 25 (MENA, Battery prices, EVs, Lithium) (Spotify, Apple)
Trump’s “beautiful” tariffs may have an ugly end (MNN)
Today’s Top Tweet
Devil’s in the Detail
We thought getting the year wrong in your ASX announcement was a worthy blunder but as Respeculator points out, it gets worse when you open the announcements to read them…
CXM ASX Announcements
It’s CXM’s attention to detail that impresses me the most. Like on top of the 2024 v 2025 gaff not disclosing / making it abundantly clear that they have a $18m outstanding debt & interest with Aurizon (vs a $14m MCAP) 🤷♂️
— Respeculator (@respeculator)
2:26 AM • Jan 21, 2025
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