MinRes' Sees Credit Downgraded on Debt Outlook

Mike Henry warns Canada & Australia over complacency while praising the US

The Pre-Start

  • Overnight we saw US credit ratings group Fitch downgrade MinRes’ credit rating to BB- from BB, with a negative outlook. MINs point to this rating being in line with its rating from Moody’s (MIN)

  • Southern Cross Gold provided an updated exploration target for its Sunday Creek gold-antimony project of 8.1 - 9.6Mt at 8.3g/t AuEq - 10.6g/t AuEq for 2.2Moz AuEq to 3.2Moz AuEq (SX2)

  • Snowline drilled 617m at 1.7g/t gold from surface, including 202m at 3.24g/t, with a resource update to be completed this half (SGD.TSX)

  • Ioneer shared an updated mineral resource estimate for Rhyolite Ridge, underscored with 510Mt containing 3.97Mt of lithium carbonate and 14.66Mt of boric acid equivalent (INR)

  • SolGold has a new CEO in Dan Vujcic and a new Chair in Paul Smith flagging a strategy reset which involves the establishment of an ExploreCo (SOLG.L)

  • Bathurst Resources provided updated production targets for its operating & development projects, with group target tonnage of 33.9Mt product coal to FY40 (BRL)

  • Lotus completed its board transition process ahead of its Kayelekera restart, with founding director Grant Davey and NED Mark Hanlon set to depart in April post recent NED appointments last month (LOT)

  • Quantum Graphite advised major project status was granted by the Aussie gov’t to the Quantum-Sunlands Eyre Peninsula graphite hub (QGL)

  • Regal increased its stake in Vault Minerals to ~8.2% (VAU)

High Grade It

  • Credit rating agency Fitch has downgraded MinRes as its debt and costs soar (AFR)

  • Victoria is likely to have to burn coal for longer, endure a gas shortage and suffer delays in developing renewable energy projects, a report from an independent agency engaged by the state Labor gov’t has found (Australian)

  • U.S. President Trump's administration and Ukraine plan to sign a minerals deal that fell through after a disastrous Oval Office meeting on Friday (Reuters)

  • Morgan Stanley capitulated on its recent call for investors to dive back into the beaten-up lithium sector after another surge in supply collided with demand concerns (AFR)

  • The EU is debating support for its steel industry as U.S. tariffs loom and China floods the market (Reuters)

  • The copper smelting industry is under growing pressure as plants around the world struggle to compete with the scores of newer factories in China offering cheap production (FT)

  • Dalian iron ore futures slid for a 7th consecutive session on Tuesday as fresh U.S. tariffs on top consumer China kicked in (Reuters)

  • Two small shareholders are suing collapsed cobalt miner Jervois in a Texas court in a last-ditch bid to halt a bankruptcy that will erase hundreds of millions in investor capital (AFR)

  • South Africa’s biggest gold producer, Harmony, will fund the construction of the Eva copper mine in Australia using its own cash, targeting 60ktpa, with expectations capex will come in above the initial $600m estimate (Reuters)

  • South Africa's Harmony Gold reported a 33% jump in first half profit on Tuesday, driven by the gold price rally (Reuters)

  • PDAC 2025: BHP’s Mike Henry hails US’ “can do” attitude as he used his keynote speech to warn Canada & Australia over complacency (MNN)

  • Automaker Stellantis said it welcomed the European Commission's announcement that it would propose a softening of the bloc's carbon emission targets for cars (Reuters)

  • Australia’s only hard rock phosphate producer Centrex appoint administrators (MNN)

Check out the surface and underground mining specialists at Blue Cap Mining for all your project development & mining services needs!

Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • First round bids are in for EMR Capital’s $2bn Ravenswood gold mine, with Regis believed to be among the line-up, plus United Tractors from Indonesia, Zhaojin & Chifeng as well as some Canadian miners (Australian)

  • Marvel Gold entered into a new binding term sheet with Anchises Capital to sell its interests in the Tabakorole & Yanfolila gold projects in Mali for $1.65m (MVL) Previous deal with PMCE didn’t proceed due to developments in Mali

  • Antipa advised that Newmont elected to withdraw from the Wilki project farm-in agreement, with Antipa to retain 100% ownership & resume project management (AZY) Largely expected given Newmont’s recent Paterson asset sales

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • New Gold launched a US$400m offering of senior notes which it will use in conjunction with its cash reserves to purchase all outstanding senior 7.5% notes due 2027 (NGD.TO)

  • Antipa entered a trading halt, with limited info provided (AZY)

  • New World Resources have entered a trading halt to raise capital (NWC)

  • Hillgrove is undertaking a $16m capital raise at 3.5c (HGO)

  • Black Rock Mining has received firm commitments on its $5m placement (BKT)

Word on the Decline

  • It’s rare that we get any rumours about what Hancock House is up to, Gina runs a tight ship. But apparently Hancock is eyeing off a chunky investment in the United States on the back of Trump’s America First investment policy which offers a fast-track review of foreign investment from allies and expedites environmental reviews for any investment over $1 billion in the United States..

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In the Weeds

  • China Belt and Road Initiative Investment Report 2024 - A great summary of Chinese overseas spend, as discussed on yesterday’s show

  • Strictly Boardroom on the lithium premiership years - 2022 and 2023 (MNN)

  • Beijing’s deflation dilemma: Falling prices signal bigger troubles ahead for China’s economy (Associated Press)

  • Gina Rinehart’s advice for women in mining (MNN)

  • US Treasury Secretary Bessent on Debt, DOGE, Dollar, and Musk (Bloomberg TV)

  • The Coal Trader’s research on Whitehaven Coal

  • Tariff implications for rare earths (Rare Earth Observer)

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Today’s Top Tweet

Devil’s in the Detail

Even the big boys play games with capex categorisation. Here’s Barrick’s latest technical report on Reko Diq. Phase 2 open-pit expansion capital of just $47 million to increase throughput from 45Mtpa to 90Mtpa?

Of course not. The real number is thrown into sustaining capital

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Has the Market Gone Cold on Miners (56 min)

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