M&A Potential Swirls Around MinRes & New Hope

Compeititon watchdog calls for new gas supply as shortages loom

The Pre-Start

  • Sandfire provided updated MATSA inventories, underscored by an overall reserve of 38.3Mt @ 1.5% Cu, 2.6% Zn 0.8% Pb & 37g/t Ag (SFR)

  • Global Lithium shared ore sorting results, with initial work indicating the tech could increase mill feed grade from 1 to 1.2% Li2O (GL1)

  • Strandline provided an update late yesterday, with lenders agreeing to defer principal and interest payments until Sept 30 (STA)

  • Canadian hedge fund MM Asset Management revealed a 10.7% holding in Bannerman, following its recent capital raise (BMN)

High Grade It

  • Eramet aims to start production at Centenario in November & ramp up to 24kt of battery-grade lithium by mid-25’ (Reuters)

  • Boss Energy is ready to ship its first drums of nuclear fuel to utilities in Europe and expects to bank the cash in the coming months (West)

  • The prospects for a Middle Eastern takeover bid emerging for Santos are regarded as unlikely, even as the O&G producer holds talks (AFR)

  • More than 150 jobs are set to be created in the Mid-West region after the board of Fenix resolved to bring the Shine mine back online (West)

  • Iron ore touched its highest in nearly a month as traders bet on a modest improvement for China’s steel market (Bloomberg)

  • Anglo will reassess the timing of its coal asset sale process following the fire which continues to burn at its Grosvenor mine (The Australian)

  • FMG is in hot water after reportedly hiring private investigators to monitor former staff & their families (West)

  • Shares in Nickel Industries were down after the miner said its operations had been affected by higher-than-expected rainfall (CB)

  • BHP bosses have docked employee incentives around the globe based on failures to hit internal performance targets (AFR)

  • The ACCC forecasted gas shortfalls from 27’, calling for new supply to come online & suggesting LNG import terminals as stopgaps (The Australian)

  • Century Mining failed in trying to reduce its government royalty payments by claiming $29m in expenses (AFR)

  • Canada’s Yukon said elevated levels of cyanide were detected in a waterway near Victoria Gold’s Eagle mine after an equipment failure & landslide (Bloomberg)

  • Citi has forecasted a near-term gold appreciation, highlighting central bank and private sector investment demand (The Australian)

  • Trading volumes on the LME surged 27% in the second quarter to the highest in a decade, with nickel leading the way (Bloomberg)

Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Canada’s federal government is poised to approve Glencore's US$6.9b purchase of Teck’s met coal unit with some stringent conditions (Bloomberg)

  • Metallica Minerals unveiled a board shake-up as a hostile takeover by rival Diatreme continues to gather momentum (The Australian)

  • Peel Mining & Red Hill announced an agreement for RHI to farm into and earn a 75% interest in Curnamona through $6.5m in spending (PEX)

  • Newmont exercised its top-up right to maintain an 8.6% shareholding in Antipa following its ~$6m placement (AZY)

  • EQR agreed to acquire CRONIMET’s JV interest in the Mt Carbine Retreatment JV, and will issue new shares worth US$7.5m (EQR)

Word on the Decline

Lots of rumours circling on Twitter in the last 24 hours:

  1. @ImmaYieldGuy reckons New Hope’s convertible offerring could go towards acquiring the rest of Malabar that they don’t already own

  2. @Respeculator reckons Anglo’s sale of its Bowen Basin coal assets won’t happen for another few years in the aftermath of the Grosvenor fire

Let us throw a big company rumour of our own into the mix. Apparently MinRes has been pretty close to doing a deal to buy (at least a stake in) Mauritania iron ore. Our intel suggests they might be worried about spooking the market with more balance sheet stress for now though.

Do you have some Word on the Decline? Reply to this email or shoot a message to [email protected] directly. We will always take your privacy seriously.

In the Weeds

  • China is struck by floods & drought — at the same time. A looming water crisis threatens everything from data centres to farms (Economist)

  • Energy transition will cost much more than politicians are pretending, an op-ed piece by John Kehoe (AFR)

  • LG Energy is aiming to commercialise what’s been described as a game-changing battery-making technology by 2028 (Bloomberg)

  • AGL & Origin to come clean on pollution levels from their NSW coal-fired power stations under new requirements by the EPA (AFR)

  • Big Tech is likely to double its electricity needs in the next 5years. Increasingly, they are looking to nuclear. What can Australia learn? (CB)

  • “Meet the victors in Africa’s coup belt” (Economist) Resource nationalism is at the forefront of volatile geopolitics in the Sahel

Were you forwarded this email from someone else?

Today’s Top Tweet

Anyone else feeling the pain from Iress crappy product?

Well then…

Devil’s in the Detail

One of the Money Miners is a hard-core credit analyst (and a true GC). He flagged to us a trend he’s spotted in payment delinquencies for WA mining services companies.

The score is a ratio of the timing of delinquency (the delay in payment against terms measured in days) against the frequency of companies' delinquent in a given month. Seasonality is normal but our man tells us that he normally sees the trend back to the baseline over FYQ3 such that FYQ4 correlates with the FYQ1 data points on the graph. 

This year was different; both in the number and lateness, hence the elevated score. Something to pay attention to.

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All information in this newsletter is for education and entertainment purposes only and is of general nature only. The hosts of Money of Mine are not financial professionals. Money of Mine are not aware of your personal financial circumstances. Before making any investment decision, you should consult a licensed financial, legal or tax professional, along with considering any relevant Product Disclosure Statement. Money of Mine does not operate under an Australian financial services licence and relies on the exemption available under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) in respect of any information or advice given. Money of Mine strives to ensure the accuracy and currency of the information contained in this newsletter but we do not make any representation or warranty that it is accurate, reliable or up to date. Any views expressed by the hosts of Money of Mine are their opinion only and may contain forward looking statements that may not eventuate. Money of Mine will not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect, consequential or other loss arising from any use of information in this newsletter.

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