Evolution to Overshoot Cost Guidance

Itochu kicks coal divestment, Chinese halt gold purchases

The Pre-Start

  • Evolution reported a quarter-to-date cash flow of $145 million post its $40 million dividend. Reduced access due to rainfall at Cowal and Mt Rawdon has had a net impact of 26koz production (EVN)

  • Global Lithium’s mineral resource at Manna has grown to 51.6Mt at 1.0% Li2O (GL1)

  • Nico Resources has received ministerial approval for an extension to their previous EPA approval to develop their Wingellina nickel-cobalt project (NC1)

  • Predictive Discovery has reported the results from 17km of drilling at their Bankan gold project in Guinea (PDI)

  • Aura Energy updated its Tiris MRE to 91.3Mlb U3O8 on the back of 15km of drilling at the Mauritanian project (AEE)

  • NRW’s subsidiary Golding agreed to acquire the mining services contract, fleet & transfer employees of HSE Mining at SMR’s South Walker Creek for $85m, less $15m in employee liabilities (NWH)

High Grade It

  • Madeleine King said the “most frustrating” part of her job is widespread “ignorance” of the importance of Australia’s resource sector (The West)

  • Itochu missed a self-imposed deadline to exit its Australian thermal coal investments, becoming the latest major group to water down climate pledges (AFR)

  • Chinese Premier Li Qiang will visit a WA lithium refinery in Perth during his three-day visit to Australia (The West)

  • Genesis 2.0 IPO aims to complete unfinished business, with the Mike Fowler-led gold explorer hunting for Eridanus lookalikes near Mt Magnet (MiningNews)

  • Gold stocks led declines on the ASX as reports of a Chinese pause on gold purchases saw global prices extend last week's fall (CB)

  • MinRes’ iron ore monopoly at the Port of Esperance will be broken when, for the 1st time, Esperance hosts 2 exporters (The West)

  • Freeport’s new boss says she’s focused on unlocking a large mine’s worth of copper from vast stockpiles of waste rock (Bloomberg)

  • The world’s top coal lobby group defended its relationship with Russian mining companies and execs, saying it’s an “agnostic” organisation (AFR)

  • Australia must develop a “Plan B” to head off a looming gas shortfall because the hope that the market will be able to bolster supplies is not working, a widely watched industry group stated (The Australian)

  • Woodside achieved 1st oil at its Sangomar field in Senegal, an offshore project with an estimated cost of up to US$5.2b (BN)

  • Nevada Copper, a miner backed by Pala Investments & Mercuria, filed for bankruptcy protection, despite record Cu prices (Bloomberg)

  • Codelco attributed a sharp drop in production at its top mine to the lingering effects of a rock collapse last year (Bloomberg)

El Teniente’s processing plant

El Teniente’s processing plant

Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Rio Tinto said on Tuesday it will buy Mitsubishi’s 11.65% stake in Boyne Smelters for an undisclosed sum (Reuters)

  • Saudi’s Acwa Power is planning to raise US$1.9b by issuing stock to existing shareholders, capitalising on a more than sixfold increase in its share price since a 2021 listing (Bloomberg)

  • The scheme booklet for the acquisition of Alumina by Alcoa was registered with ASIC yesterday, with IER Grant Samuel concluding the Scheme was “fair and reasonable” (AWC, The Australian)

  • Critical Metals Corp agreed to buy a controlling interest in the Tanbreez rare earth deposit in Greenland (Bloomberg)

  • Southern Cross Gold and Mawson Gold plan to unwind their separation (The Australian)

  • Galileo has completed its tie-up with MinRes (not always guaranteed) with following-up exploration drilling commencing in August (GAL)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Recently floated Brazilian Rare Earths is trading halt for a $65m capital raise (BRE, The Australian)

Word on the Decline

  • With all the oil & gas M&A possibilities that are getting air time (see yesterday’s show), we thought it would be interesting to see what the giant industrial consumers of gas are expecting the long-term price to be. Lucky us, the Alumina / Alcoa scheme booklet dropped yesterday!

  • The base case DCF model used in the valuation of Alumina assumes A$9/GJ (real) for WA domgas when their gas supply agreements expire in CY32

  • The world has moved a bit in the last few years. I remember a well-respected energy analyst at a bulge bracket investment bank running flat $6/GJ for WA domgas just two years ago

    Wesfarmers complaining about domgas prices last month

  • Alumina presumably guided the Independent Expert to $9/GJ, but we suspect that might still prove too low. At least they sensitised a $10/GJ scenario…

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In the Weeds

  • The first long-form interview with Oskar Lewnowski, the man who built mining private equity firm, Orion Resource Partners, dropped yesterday (YouTube)

  • While the South African government announced automakers will be allowed to claim a 150% tax deduction on EV facility investment, VW & Isuzu have expressed scepticism (Bloomberg)

  • Improving investor appetite for risk is one of the signs Dryblower believes indicates a sustainable recovery in the mining sector is underway, as rate cuts start (MiningNews)

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Today’s Top Tweet

Devil’s in the Detail

Do we even need to write this column ourselves or can we simply just link to a tweet from Chuckie each time?

Anyway, here’s an infographic we thought was cool in lieu of some original analysis:

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Disclaimer

All information in this newsletter is for education and entertainment purposes only and is of general nature only. The hosts of Money of Mine are not financial professionals. Money of Mine are not aware of your personal financial circumstances. Before making any investment decision, you should consult a licensed financial, legal or tax professional, along with considering any relevant Product Disclosure Statement. Money of Mine does not operate under an Australian financial services licence and relies on the exemption available under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) in respect of any information or advice given. Money of Mine strives to ensure the accuracy and currency of the information contained in this newsletter but we do not make any representation or warranty that it is accurate, reliable or up to date. Any views expressed by the hosts of Money of Mine are their opinion only and may contain forward looking statements that may not eventuate. Money of Mine will not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect, consequential or other loss arising from any use of information in this newsletter.

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