China Steel Exports Send Commodity Warning

JORC debates rage while Gina warns on lack of mining investment

The Pre-Start

  • Ramelius’ updated group reserves are 18% higher at 20Mt at 1.6g/t for 1.1Moz, mostly due to Eridanus extension and Cue acquisition (RMS)

  • ERA’s minority shareholders Zentree and Packer & Co. are preparing a Takeovers Panel application & requested that ERA amend the entitlement offer timetable. A 5-day extension has been agreed (ERA)

  • Northern Minerals has received EPA approval for strategic amendments to its Browns Range project (NTU)

  • Guinea’s mines department notified Predictive Discovery that the processing of all permit applications has been suspended for maintenance & the review of all mining titles (PDI)

  • Sayona’s after-open results on Friday reflected a $119m group loss as it ramps NAL, with total production of 156kdmt (SYA)

  • Bellevue highlighted $75m NPAT for FY24 with its set of financial reports provided today (BGL)

  • DevEx’s Board looks pretty - two directors have retired, one has transitioned to management and there is a new MD in Todd Ross (DEV)

  • Turaco shared assays from another 21 holes at Woulo Woulo, with 8 holes drilled for extensions to the MRE delivering mineralised hits (TCG)

  • WIA gold released results on 44 RC doles (for 5.6km) at Bouaflé (WIA)

  • Strickland shared gold hits from Warmblood & Palomino (STK)

  • Lotus has entered a trading halt pending an announcement regarding offtake and funding (LOT)

  • Stellar Resources updated its Heemskirk scoping study, requiring $71m in capex for a 12-year, 350ktpa operation, netting a $75m NPV8 at US$28,000/t tin price (SRZ) at spot US$32,000 it’s $190m NPV8

High Grade It

  • The US & Australia teamed up for the first time to help fund the next wave of critical minerals projects to shore up non-Chinese supply (AFR)

  • Global solar generation overtakes wind for longest-ever stretch (Reuters)

  • China’s steel exports will reach an 8-year high, inundating the world with low-cost supply & threatening to inflame global trade tensions (FT)

  • Iron ore & steel demand to be tested further as China’s property downturn accelerates (West)

  • Activist investor Market Forces is seeking to stir investor revolt at Woodside, highlighting its recent US LNG terminal deal (AFR)

  • Trump would axe Biden clean power rules, speed power plant approvals, the campaign said (Reuters)

  • Gina raised concern over the ability of renewable energy to replace base­load coal & gas (Australian)

  • Multiplex heir & former MINs director Tim Roberts emerged as the backer behind MinRes’s private airline (AFR)

  • Tanya Plibersek was accused of secretly overruling the Environment Department’s hand-picked Indigenous cultural assessor (Australian)

  • The US oil industry and Republicans are demanding that Kamala Harris clarify her energy and climate policy (AFR)

  • American steel exec’s say they’re optimistic that demand for the industrial material will rebound next year (Bloomberg)

  • WA treasurer Rita Saffioti defended the state’s more bullish price forecasts for iron ore after a sharp fall (Australian)

  • Northam Platinum said profit fell almost 30% in the last fiscal year as lower prices countered higher production (Bloomberg)

  • The CEO of South Korean zinc producer Young Poong and another senior staff member were arrested over a fatal accident (Bloomberg)

  • Minerals Council boss Tania Constable said an IR ruling threatened to set a precedent that could be applied across the Pilbara (Australian)

  • Industrias Penoles announced an indefinite halt to operations at its Minera Tizapa unit due to a strike (Reuters)

  • Gina Rinehart warned of an investment exodus as mining flashpoints intensify (Australian)

  • South Africa's platinum mining industry has entered an irreversible decline with low prices and demand suffering, Northam Platinum CEO Paul Dunne said (Reuters)

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Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Ardea has executed a binding shareholders agreement with the consortium of Sumitomo and Mitsibishi (ARL)

  • Stanmore noted that the relevant threshold had been met for it to pay the final & maximum US$150m deferred consideration to BHP (SMR)

  • GM & Lithium Americas agreed to delay an additional US$330m investment in Thacker Pass until the end of the year (Reuters)

  • The scheme of arrangement between Patronus (formerly KIN) and PNX has become effective (PNX)

  • Jervois and its bondholders have agreed on a further waiver extension (JRV)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Galan tapped its at-the-market facility again, to raise $600k through the set-off of 4.8m Galan collateral shares, indicating a 12.5c price (GLN)

Word on the Decline

We’ve all seen the Lith-ranium transition happening with the explorers. But who would have thought it would make its way to the (former) producers too?

Core Lithium

It’s all happening…

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In the Weeds

  • ESG fights for its place in mining sector’s sacred tome (AFR) A must-read on changes to the JORC code

  • The Economic Feasibility of Nuclear Power (Spotify, Apple) A fascinating poddy for U-dogs out there

  • Supercharging lithium-ion batteries with Gene Berdichevsky (Spotify, Apple)

  • Will Gold’s Tailwinds Be Enough to Overcome September Curse? (Bloomberg)

  • Global zinc mine production continues to slide and the raw materials squeeze is now starting to bite, but there’s no shortage (Reuters op-ed)

  • Overcoming China’s dominance in gallium will not be easy (FT)

  • Class action skewers Rio Tinto’s Bougainville redemption (AFR op-ed)

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Devil’s in the Detail

For those interested in the latest status of Bellevue’s debt with Macquarie, there’s some colour on page 47 of today’s Annual Report

BGL Subsequent Events

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