Anglo Board Rejects Revised BHP Proposal

Copper miners aggressively secure low charges, Rio hit with third derailment

G’day GC #

The Pre-Start

  • BHP has had a revised proposal for Anglo American REJECTED. It offered 0.8132 shares plus the distribution of Amplats and Kumba shares, representing a 15% increase in merger exchange ratio (BHP). 22nd May is the U.K. Takeover Code cut-off date for BHP to put in a firm offer.

  • Westgold hit 4.0m @ 10.8g/t Au and 10.5m @ 3.8g/t Au 800m below surface at South Junction - Bluebird (WGX). 4 rigs spinning at South Junction aiming to further prove up and extend resource.

  • Meteoric has updated its MRE at Caldeira to 545Mt @ 2,561 ppm TREO. The vast majority sits in inferred, with the indicated portion being 86Mt at 2,730 ppm TREO from Soberbo (MEI) There are 2 environmental areas near the project, but the company deems there to be a reasonable prospect for eventual economic extraction, of course.

  • Antipa has released drill results with the best hit being 66m at 1.4g/t, including 16m at 4.4g/t from 157m (AZY) It’s a funny coincidence how these come out the same day as a conference presentation!

High Grade It

  • Anglo rejects BHP’s revised proposal, valuing the whole group at US$43b (Mining.com)

  • Rio Tinto autonomous train derails in the Pilbara at Galah Station near Karratha, the third occurrence within a year (The West)

  • Karoon’s CEO is schmoozing investors, but activists aren’t backing down (AFR)

  • Fortsecue’s Iron Bridge leaky pipeline fiasco purportedly spills on Viburnum-backed contractor MPC Kinetic (The West)

  • Evolution Mining and Mungari contractor MLG OZ face fines of $3.5m each over worker’s crushed arm (The West)

  • Jupiter Mines boss Brad Rodgers predicts further manganese price upside after cyclone halt to South32 output (The West)

  • Platinum’s shortage is set to persist as a slowdown in EV sales fuels demand, with the WPIC forecasting a 476koz deficit this year (Bloomberg)

  • Copper miners are aggressively locking in unsustainable record-low TCRC’s, offering concentrate as far out as 2028. Numerous deals with negative charges have been signed for next year (Fastmarkets)

  • L1 Capital’s Rafi Lamm has urged investors not to get “sucked in by current fads” as the firm sees fresh opportunities for gold, energy and copper stocks (The Australian)

  • Miners & gas chiefs issued a pre-budget warning to the PM that investment, productivity, tax revenue and regional jobs are under threat unless Labor unshackles them from regressive policies and backs the gas industry (The Australian)

  • Respondents to a Bloomberg survey have said that US big tech stocks were the closest rival to gold as an inflation hedge

Inflation hedge survey

What’s the best inflation hedge?

Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Anglo American investors told the company to move faster on the release of its turnaround plan to survive BHP bid (The West)

  • Polymetals accelerated its acquisition of the Endeavor Silver-Zinc-Lead mine from a Toho Zinc subsidiary, deferring the exchange of the rehab bond for 2 years (POL)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Spartan completed the retail entitlement offer component of its $80m raising. Retail demand only amounted to $4m of the $11m sought, with the shortfall issued to the underwriters (SPR)

  • Pantoro raised $100m, upsized from the initial $88m target. Funds will be used to close out the $45m Nebari loan, for resource definition and establishing a third underground mine (PNR)

  • Equinox completed a $4m placement for rare earth exploration in Brazil and iron ore exploration in the Pilbara (EQN)

Word on the Decline

  • We understand that Bluescope has until the end of the month to exercise its pre-emptive right in relation to GEAR and M Resources’ proposed acquisition of Illawarra from South32. We’re led to believe that Bluescope fears certainty of supply beyond 2032, should GEAR and M Resources acquire the met coal project. We expect Bluescope to exercise its pre-emptive right.

In the Weeds

  • China’s commodity imports show prices beat economic narrative (Reuters)

  • Big US banks dominated fossil fuel financing in 2023, with trends showing an increase in funding for companies examining expansions of LNG capacity (FT)

  • Bloomberg has reported that the Biden administration will lift tariffs on Chinese EVs to 102.5% to protect the US auto industry

  • Chinese private smelter Henan Jinli Gold & Lead Group is looking to expand its commodities trading team in Singapore, as the industry turns increasingly bullish on copper, aluminium & more metals (Bloomberg)

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Today’s Top Tweet

Devil’s in the Detail

When you you sort ASX companies by ‘change in % short interest over the last week’ it looks like this

Thanks to Spark for the data here

The somewhat curious name on that list is QPM at #6 given it only has a market cap of $83 million. If you zoom out a few months on the time series of short interest, it spiked within the last week.

So should we be surprised to see the company in a trading halt right now pending a capital raising? Nope. Welcome to another day on the mighty ASX.

Disclaimer

All information in this newsletter is for education and entertainment purposes only and is of general nature only. The hosts of Money of Mine are not financial professionals. Money of Mine are not aware of your personal financial circumstances. Before making any investment decision, you should consult a licensed financial, legal or tax professional, along with considering any relevant Product Disclosure Statement. Money of Mine does not operate under an Australian financial services licence and relies on the exemption available under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) in respect of any information or advice given. Money of Mine strives to ensure the accuracy and currency of the information contained in this newsletter but we do not make any representation or warranty that it is accurate, reliable or up to date. Any views expressed by the hosts of Money of Mine are their opinion only and may contain forward looking statements that may not eventuate. Money of Mine will not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect, consequential or other loss arising from any use of information in this newsletter.

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