Aluminium Spikes on Guinean Suspension

Westgold publishes soft pre-quarterly, Catalyst grows reserves as shares runs

The Pre-Start

  • Westgold released a pre-quarterly, producing 77koz, including 2 months of Southern Goldfields production. It closed with $103m in net cash (WGX)

  • Catalyst updated its mineral inventory, with total ore reserves estimated to be 10.6Mt @ 3.0g/t for 1Moz (CYL)

  • Pantoro produced 21.4koz gold in the quarter, seeing cash and bullion grow by $8.5 million despite six process days lost due to crushing failures (PNR)

  • Alkane produced 18.4koz from Tomingley at an AISC of $2,182/oz for $19m in site operating cash flow (ALK)

  • Chalice’s Gonneville received Commonwealth major project status, which will help expedite approvals (CHN)

  • Turaco shared 7 drill holes results from a historic pit, confirming mineralisation sub-parallel to Woulo Woulo (TCG)

  • Encounter shared its best niobium intercept to date, right on the north-west structural trend adjacent to Luni (ENR)

  • Black Cat updated on Paulsens, with the stockpile build & Delvedereplanning accelerated, prior to December commissioning (BC8)

  • Xanadu is in a pause in trading to release its PFS (XAM)

  • True North Copper has mined 22kt of oxide ore at Cloncurry to date (TNC) ‘oxide’ not sulphide so we assume Tranche 2 of the debt facility with Nebari isn’t on the cards yet

TNC

High Grade It

  • Aluminum prices surged amid Guinea bauxite export suspension (Mining.com) MMI has opened 5% higher on ASX this morning

  • Financial markets got off to a cautious start to the week as China’s Finance Ministry briefing at the weekend underwhelmed (Bloomberg)

  • Appian won its Atlantic Nickel case against Sibanye, now pursuing full damages (MiningNews)

  • Rio Tinto’s Serbian lithium pain might be Argentina’s gain, as Rio rue missed sell-down to CATL (AFR)

  • Ambassador Gabriele Visentin leads a European envoy bound for WA in mission to woo miners this week (West)

  • Fortescue said the Albanese government should consider tying a lucrative fuel tax credit to decarbonisation efforts for Australia’s mining giants (AFR)

  • Chris Ellison’s Mineral Resources slowed down the drill bit to save some extra cash amid cost crunch (West)

  • Hedge funds fled bearish bets against Brent crude prices at the fastest pace in nearly 8 years, as war risks ratcheted up (Bloomberg)

  • The WA Trade Minister said alumina would be a ‘really big beneficiary’ from a trade agreement done by the Federal Government with the UAE in Sept (West)

  • France’s Orano is boosting uranium mining & processing capacity as supplies tighten on stronger demand & moves to reduce reliance on Russia (Bloomberg)

  • Hundreds of people marched through Ghana's capital Accra in a peaceful protest against unlicensed gold mining, calling on authorities to act (Reuters)

  • Activists targeting a plan to drill for gas in WA’s Kimberley vowed to push ahead after Black Mountain said it would present a new plan (Australian)

  • Australia’s largest off-grid power system, the 95MW Kathleen Valley hybrid power system, is up and running (West)

  • Ontario's Pickering nuclear station gets green light for continued operation (Reuters)

Model Answer

Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Bridget Carter reckons the Cobar is prime for consolidation now, citing an enormous pool of potential consolidators (Gold Fields, Newmont and Anglo Gold, Fortescue) (Dataroom) she cites MAC as potentially acquiring Aurelia or Peel. Aeris could merge with Aurelia. Kingston could merge with Talisman or AGC. And Newmont could buy Waratah. Have we missed a single permutation?

  • South Africa’s Exxaro is seeking to acquire manganese mining assets after missing out on copper assets (Bloomberg)

  • Street Talk hyped up further West African gold consolidation, declaring Siren Gold a target, with Santana or Federation Mining potential acquirers (AFR)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Raiden Resources raised $10m for further lithium drilling (RDN)

  • Navoi Mining launched and pricing a US$1b debut bond offering (MiningNews)

  • Viridis and Sunstone have each individually launched $4m raisings (VMM, STM)

Word on the Decline

  • One of the murmurs to make its way out of LME Week relates to Glencore’s upper-bound in a bid for Anglo’s Queensland coal assets. We heard that Glencore would only pay up to US$3 billion (or at least they were prepared to signal as much)

Do you have some Word on the Decline? Reply to this email or shoot a message to [email protected] directly. We will always take your privacy seriously.

In the Weeds

  • Kopernik Global Investors whitepaper on mining - well worth reading

  • EV sales unlikely to pick up in 2025, next year could be the slowest growth to date (Mining News)

  • WA lithium miners get a Rio reality check, with a silver lining (AFR Analysis)

  • Coal/gas switching in EU power market (Coal Trader)

  • FAQ On Rising Middle East Turmoil and Energy Markets (Super-Spiked)

  • This mining fundie says lithium is a better bet than iron ore (AFR)

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Today’s Top Tweet

This thread is one of the best takes on the Arcadium acquisition by Rio Tinto and it’s from a young fella with only 250 followers...

Devil’s in the Detail

Here are 3 funny things across the desk this morning:

  1. Genesis Minerals uploaded the wrong version of their Notice of Meeting to the platform on Friday afternoon. This one included comments! Thankfully there were no howlers…

  2. Encounter put out what appears to be their best niobium results to date this morning. It is a bit amusing seeing the drilling angle change to vertical in the cross-section when up against the WA1 tenement boundary…

  3. The last one comes from Argent who this morning didn’t bother calculating a metal equivalent:

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